Probability underpins AI, cryptography and statistics. However, as the philosopher Bertrand Russell said, “Probability is the ...

The US equity market stands at the most extreme valuations in history, on the measures we find best correlated with actual ...

Polymarket odds of the Clarity Act passing in 2026 jumped to 82% as negotiations intensify ahead of a key deadline.

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So now prediction markets are cosplaying as the future of news. Regulators noticed Polymarket and Kalshi rake in cash on ...

Discover what a junior company is, how it operates in natural resource exploration, and see examples like Nexus Gold.

Tom Lee says a market pivot is near, naming crypto, MAG 7 stocks, and software as potential leaders in the next rally.

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Prediction markets price the odds of the U.S. government confirming aliens before 2027. See live probabilities and trading ...

In the run-up to the 2024 US presidential election, Donald Trump cited political prediction markets (PPMs) as evidence that ...